Posts Tagged: ‘highs’

Canadian Income Stocks!

November 7, 2011 Posted by admin

18 High-Dividend Canadian Stocks

 

 

The 2008 financial crisis uncannily echoes what happened in Japan more than a decade ago. In the 1990s, the Japanese banking systems had become overloaded with bad loans after a property bubble collapse, according to Gillian Tett, author of Fool’s Gold. The investor psychology seemed dangerously similar too.  If this is the case, investors who buy high yield stocks now could collect big dividends while the economy fights to get back on its feet.

 

The Associated Press (AP) reported on Friday that the U.S. federal budget deficit has surged to an all-time high of $1.42 trillion. The Obama administration projects deficits will total $9.1 trillion over the next decade. For weeks the US dollar’s decline sent gold to all-time highs and helped oil to over $78. Canada happens to have plenty of these commodities. 

 

The following are 18 Canadian companies listed on U.S. exchanges with market caps greater than $1 billion, reasonable P/E ratios, and dividend yields greater than 3.5% (sorted by yield):

 

 

Name

Symbol

P/E

Yield

Market Cap

PROVIDENT ENERGY TR

(PVX)

9.0

11.1%

1.66B

PENGROWTH EGY UTS

(PGH)

5.0

10.6%

2.61B

PENN WEST ENERGY TRU

(PWE)

5.1

10.1%

6.90B

ENERPLUS RES FD

(ERF)

5.8

8.4%

3.97B

HARVEST ENERGY TRUST

(HTE)

4.2

8.1%

1.14B

B C E INC

(BCE)

21.7

6.1%

18.82B

TELUS CORP

(TU)

8.6

5.8%

9.41B

PRECISION DRILL TRST

(PDS)

4.3

5.7%

1.91B

BANK OF MONTREAL

(BMO)

17.3

5.1%

27.68B

TRANSALTA CORP

(TAC)

21.9

5.1%

4.07B

BAYTEX ENERGY TR UTS

(BTE)

12.8

5.0%

2.77B

CANADIAN IMP BK COMM

(CM)

3.7

5.0%

2.98B

BROOKFIELD PTYS CP

(BPO)

6.2

4.6%

4.47B

TRANSCANADA CORP

(TRP)

15.1

4.3%

21.71B

SHAW COMM CL B NV

(SJR)

15.6

4.2%

8.24B

ROGERS COMMUN CL B

(RCI)

16.8

4.0%

16.57B

BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA

(BNS)

16.7

3.9%

45.86B

TORONTO DOMINION

(TD)

17.4

3.5%

53.70B

 

These 18 high-dividend companies are in 4 sectors: Energy, Financial, Telecom and Utilities.

 

Energy Income Trust

High demand from China and a weak US dollar make the energy sector attractive.  7 companies belong to energy income trust category:

 

Symbol

Operating Margin

Debt/Operating CF

52-wk Range

(BTE)

36%

1.0

7.84 – 26.44

(ERF)

51%

0.7

12.85 – 28.58

(HTE)

10%

3.2

3.00 – 11.55

(PDS)

28%

2.0

2.00 – 12.21

(PGH)

22%

2.5

4.51 – 11.90

(PVX)

23%

1.5

2.23 – 6.84

(PWE)

58%

2.3

6.77 – 19.01

 

 

For sophisticated traders, trading commodities directly might provide a higher reward. For income investors, commodity companies might be a better choice because they provide some buffer, in addition to regular dividends.

 

There is a small ETF called Claymore Canadian Energy Income (ENY) which includes most of these companies. Its yield is 5.45%.

 

 

Financials

The Following are comparisons between Canadian banks, U.S. major banks averages, as well as JPMorgan Chase (JPM), one of the most conservative banks in the US. Clearly Canadian banks are much more profitable.

 

Description

P/E

ROE %

Div. Yield %

Net Profit Margin %

U.S. Money Center Banks

n/a

1.1%

1.1%

1.3%

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

52.6

2.9%

0.4%

15.5%

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

17.6

9.4%

3.5%

22.2%

The Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS)

16.8

13.2%

3.9%

28.9%

CIBC (CM)

3.8

7.0%

5.0%

18.8%

Bank of Montreal (BMO)

17.4

9.2%

5.1%

21.8%

 

 

Telecom

Competition in the telecom sector is heating up in Canada. When BCE (BCE) and Telus (TU) announced they will start carrying the iPhone next month which puts an end to the exclusivity that Rogers (RCI) has enjoyed, it sent RCI’s short ratio to a stunning high of 33. Unlike those 3, Shaw Communications (SJR) primarily focuses on cable services.

 

Utilities

TransAlta (TAC) is an electric utility company while TransCanada (TRP) operates through two segments: pipelines and energy. TAC’s short ratio of 5.8 makes me nervous.

 

 Conclusion

After boldly buying when others were selling, Warren Buffet is pulling back, buying fewer stocks while investing in debt.  He is warning that the economy, though on the mend, remains deeply troubled.

 

In addition, the Canadian dollar is a strong threat to the Canadian economy. CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC) appreciated over 13% this year. Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of Canada, has warned that the Canadian dollar appears to be moving away from the fundamentals. 

 

The iShares MSCI Canada Index (EWC) year-to-date’s return is an astonishing 46%. A great stock can be easily turned into a bad investment, if you buy it at a higher than reasonable price.  It all depends on the starting price.

 

Nonetheless, high-dividend, fundamentally-strong companies are more likely to survive in this stormy market. One of the greatest ways to protect your portfolio is through asset allocation: to make sure not a single sector accounts for more than 20% of your portfolio. Be sure to re-balance as it will automatically enroll you into the “buy low, sell high” camp.

 

Disclosure: I have long positions on BMO, BNS, CM, PWE, TD, and TRE. All data is from Yahoo Finance (http://finance.yahoo.com/) as of Oct 16, 2009. 

 

Stocks: BCE, BMO, BNS, BPO, BTE, CM, ENY, ERF, EWC, FXC, THE, JPM, PDS,

PGH, PVX, PWE, RCI, SJR, TAC, TD, TRP, TU

 

Hao Jin, CFA
Contributing Writer

Article Source:http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/canadian-income-stocks-1360481.html

Mid-Week Commodity ETF Update!

November 5, 2011 Posted by admin

Commodities and stocks have been on fire the past two weeks and I think it just may be time for things to take a breather. While I continue to stay long, taking some money off the table to lock in profits is a safe play. 

 

If you look  at the charts we can tell the odds are pointing to some type of pause or pullback in the coming days. I figure any day now we could see some profit taking.

 

Gold ETF Trading – GLD

The Gold ETF is one of my favorite trading vehicles. Using simple trend lines and looking at the recent price action you can see that the price of gold is looking ready for a pullback. Buying at this level is chasing and that generally means you buy at the high and panic out at the low.

 

Silver ETF Trading – SLV

The Silver ETF looks to be in the same boat as gold. I expect to see some sideways price action or a pullback.

 

Natural Gas ETF Trading – UNG

The Natural Gas ETF sure has given everyone a wild ride in the past 6 months. The bear market is still in place which can be seen on the daily chart. So far this week the price has broken down and trading at the $11 support level. This fund could generate a buy or sell signal with my trading model in the coming days so I am waiting for a clear entry and exit point before jumping on the gas wagon.

 

Crude Oil ETF Trading – USO

The Crude Oil ETF has broken above its resistance trend line this week but still struggling to move above the August high. Volume is declining while the price rises which is a bearish indicator. USO looks ready for some type of a pullback as it digests this breakout before moving higher.

 

Mid-Week GLD, SLV, UNG, USO ETF Trading Report

What does the general public hear and think about the stock market?

From recent emails, local financial news shows, family, friends etc… all I am hearing is how strong the market is. Indexes are making new yearly highs and company earnings are better than expected this quarter. Sounds like all we need to do is buy and life will be great!

 

Well in my opinion the market is the perfect tool for misguiding and frustrating the general public. All my indicators are telling me we need more of a correction before rallying much higher. The market (smart money) generally anticipates good and bad news several weeks if not a month in advance. So the question is:

 

Are company earnings already priced into the market?

 

Is all this positive market coverage getting the general public to buy up here at this possible market top?

 

The answer is, only time will tell. No one knows for sure what the market is going to do but short term moves can be predicted with relatively high accuracy.

 

Don’t get me wrong, I am still bullish on the market but with all this good news becoming public information you have to wonder what is next. I am still long the market but trimming my positions to lock in profits and still stay in the game.

 

Chris Vermeulen
Contributing Writer

Article Source:http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/midweek-commodity-etf-update-1343760.html

New Highs

January 3, 2010 Posted by admin

Today I’m going to go over a simple screen with a powerful concept. Buying stocks that are making new highs. I know some are reluctant to buy stocks making new 52-week highs. If you’re one of them, have you ever asked yourself why? If a stock is making a new 52-week high, isn’t that a good thing? Just like a stock making a new 52-week low is bad thing. I’m pretty sure that a person who dislikes buying stocks making new 52-week highs wouldn’t be too upset if the stock he already owned broke out to new 52-week high. And why should he? Statistics have shown that stocks making new highs have a tendency of making even higher highs. These are the stocks we all dream about. Get in and watch it continue going up.

Of course the fundamentals need to be there. And you should keep a watchful eye on valuations. But if you were in a stock making new highs and cheering it on, it seems silly to be afraid of one doing the same just because you haven’t bought it.

One question I like asking myself just to put things into perspective is: if I was in it, would I be excited and would I still want to be in it? If the answer is yes, then I’ll look for the best opportunity to get in. If the answer is no, I’d want to take profits, then I’ll move on.

This topic actually reminds me of a question someone asked me a while ago about a stock I was talking about that was at a new 52-week high – in fact, it was at a 5-year high. He asked, “Aren’t you worried about buying a stock at a 52-week high?” I said of course not. So it just made a new 52-week high. That’s great news! Guess what — last year it made a new 52-week high as well. And the year before that. And the year before that. Can you imagine all the money you’d be leaving on the table if you were afraid of being in stocks every time they made a new high? Case closed. :)

The screen I’m running today looks for:

* Stock trading within 5% of their 52 week high. The expression looks like this:

Current Price/52 Week high >= .95

That means these stocks are either at a new 52-week high, or have just hit it and still trading within 5% of it, or are climbing towards their 52-week high and are within striking distance.

* Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2

Only Zacks Strong Buys and Buys.

* Price to Sales less than or equal to 1

A Price to Sales ratio of 1 means you’re paying $1 for every $1 of sales a company makes. A P/S ratio of less than 1 means you’re paying less than $1 for every $1 of sales a company makes. I have found that by looking at stocks with a P/S ratio of less than or equal to 1 helps me find stocks that are still considered undervalued -– even if they are making new highs.

* Current Avg. 20 Day Volume > Previous week’s Avg. 20 Day Volume

In short, this helps me find stocks where the volume has increased in the recent week vs. the previous week. If the price is climbing on increased volume, that shows increased demand or buying coming in. And the more buying demand there is for a stock, the more it should climb.

* All of these parameters are applied to stocks >= $5 with Avg. daily volume of >= 100,000.

Here are 5 stocks that made it thru this week’s screen for 12/29/09:

AIN – Albany International Corp.

CAG – ConAgra Foods, Inc.

FUL – H.B. Fuller Company

ODSY – Odyssey HealthCare, Inc.

UVV – Universal Corp.

Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.

Kevin Matras is the Research Wizard Product Manager and weekly contributing Editor at Zacks Investment Research who creates and writes the Zacks Commentary Screen of the Week and Know Your Options. For more information, visit http://www.zacks.com.

Article Source:http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/new-highs-1656281.html